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Opinion Polls Tighten Ahead Of French Presidential Election

21 April 2017, 02:30 | Taylor George

Ms Marine Le Pen has brought the National Front from fringe status into the political spotlight and is a real contender to be France's first woman president and its first far-right leader since World War II. He may, nevertheless, have a smoother run to a parliamentary majority than Macron or Le Pen, given that he has a party structure in his The Republicans grouping. However, such outcomes remain unlikely at this stage, especially as Le Pen would require a sufficient-and improbable-parliamentary majority in order to abandon the euro, and also given the fact that the public would ultimately decide the fate of France's European Union membership through a referendum, as has been promised by Le Pen. For example, the French bookmakers have seen French traders betting on Fillon winning rather than Le Pen, whereas the United Kingdom and U.S. bookmakers' see Le Pen beating Fillon. The unusual development means the four candidates have hopes of reaching the second round run-off in May. Convicted extremists with dual nationality would also be stripped of their French passports.

The measure has not been part of her programme, although she has put on record that she wants to limit annual immigration to just 10 000 people a year.

They are sharing a stage but will be interviewed individually for 15 minutes as they seek to convince the electorate ahead of Sunday's first round vote.

In the Marseille apartment of the two men arrested yesterday, police found an automatic rifle, two handguns, ammunition and three kilogrammes of explosives, French authorities said.

The big surprise here would be Le Pen's failure to make it to the run-off, confounding years of opinion polls.

Le Pen's deputy Florian Philippot fired back: "You'll see, we'll soon be sticking your oligarchic rag in the cupboard".

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"Don't believe what they tell you, "He wants to leave Europe, the euro". let's be serious", he told supporters.

The Communist-backed candidate has pledged to renegotiate some of the founding treaties of the bloc, however, which would cast serious doubt on the viability of the postwar project of integrating the continent.

Another poll, a daily survey by Opinionway, gave similar projections to Cevipof for the top candidates and projected Macron beating Le Pen in the May 7 second round by 65 percent to 35.

The election has been one of the most unpredictable in decades and takes place against a backdrop of rising rightwing nationalism, seen most notably in Britain's decision to leave the European Union and Donald Trump's presidential victory in the United States. "That's more or less "plan A" for Le Pen", said Florian Hense, European economist at Berenberg Bank in London.



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